Fair questions, straight answers

A baseball analytics platform: a plain-English stats search over 20+ seasons of MLB data, a plate-appearance-level Monte Carlo game simulator, and model-priced markets shown next to live Kalshi quotes — with every model call graded in public.

No — deliberately. Search is a deterministic grammar over our own corpus: the same question always returns the same, checkable answer, and every answer links the game log it came from. No hallucinated stats.

MLB today, in depth. Other leagues are on the roadmap; we'd rather do one sport honestly than five sports shallowly.

No. Search, game pages, team and player pages, live scores and the sample simulation are open to everyone. An account adds simulations (one matchup a day free) and one unlocked model pick daily; Pro unlocks the full board.

Licensed sports data feeds (games, box scores, plays, pitch-level data from 2002 onward), MLB's public probables and lineups, National Weather Service park forecasts, sportsbook consensus lines, and Kalshi's public market data — all ingested into Mixl's own store.

Live games update every few seconds and are merged into the corpus within seconds of the final out. Lines refresh through the day; models retrain nightly.

Models are only ever evaluated on data from after their training window — the way real prediction works. It's the difference between a backtest you can trust and a highlight reel. A challenger model replaces a champion only by winning out-of-sample.

That disagreement is the product. We show our number, the de-vigged book consensus and the Kalshi price side by side, in percentage points — when we're with the market you'll see that too.

Calls are logged before first pitch and scored against settlement, misses included. Settled calls stay public — the record page is append-only by design.

It plays full games plate appearance by plate appearance: each PA is an eight-way outcome draw from the batter's rates composed against the pitcher's, with starter leashes, bullpen handoffs, baserunning and extra innings. Do that ten thousand times and you get a distribution, not a guess.

It's a real captured run with a fixed random seed, replayed — so every visitor sees the same genuine engine output. Live runs draw fresh games each time (and Pro can pin seeds to reproduce a run exactly).

Estimates converge with the square root of the run count: 1,000 games gets you within a few points, 10,000 within about one. The convergence chart in every run shows the band tightening as games stack.

Any two teams, yes. Editing the nine lineup slots and swapping starters is a Pro feature.

Not yet. Native apps for iPhone, Android, Windows and Mac are what we're building toward for Q4 2026 — that's a target, not a promise, and today there's nothing to download: no beta, no store listing, no waitlist. Nothing is waiting on them. Mixl runs in any modern browser, phone included: the plain-English search over 20+ MLB seasons, the Monte Carlo simulator, the picks posted before first pitch and graded in public, live game pages, and your own connected Kalshi account with real orders behind a mandatory review step. The apps would add places to open Mixl, not things to do in it.

Everything public (search, pages, live scores, the demo), plus with a free account: 3 simulator runs a day — one matchup at up to 100 games each — and one fully unlocked model pick daily.

The full model board (our probability, edge and pick on every market and prop), 50,000-game simulations, lineup and starter editing, pinned seeds and saved runs.

Subscribe in-app, monthly or yearly. Cancel anytime from Settings → Plan; access runs to the end of the paid period. Your price is grandfathered — later price changes never touch an active subscription.

No. Mixl doesn't take bets or hold your funds. Market prices shown are from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange; if you trade there, that relationship is between you and Kalshi. Optional account connection lets you place real Kalshi orders from Mixl — your key is imported into your browser as a non-extractable signing key, so even Mixl's own code can only sign with it, never read it. It never reaches our servers. We relay signatures, not secrets.

No. Model output is research and entertainment — probabilities, not promises. Markets are hard, variance is real, and past model performance doesn't guarantee anything. 18+ only; if gambling stops being fun, seek help (1-800-GAMBLER in the US).

Mixl's own trading engine runs on demo money only while its public track record accrues — that's a hard gate, not a promise, and it never touches user funds. Separate from that: if you connect your own Kalshi account, you can opt in to Autopilot, which auto-places real orders on your account for newly locked AI Picks while a Mixl tab is open — off by default, gated behind explicit real-money consent and a verified second factor, and bounded by the per-order, daily, and balance-floor caps you set. Turning it off never needs the second factor.